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Probabilité

Probabilité de tirer 2 as et 2 rois

Vois comment les combinaisons comptent les façons de tirer 2 as et 2 rois d'un jeu de 52 cartes, puis divise par toutes les mains de 4 cartes pour obtenir la probabilité.

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Problem

What is the probability of drawing exactly 22 aces and 22 kings from a standard 5252-card deck?

Step 1: Count the Good Hands

We want hands that have exactly 22 aces and 22 kings.

There are 44 aces in the deck, and we choose 22 of them:

(42)=6\binom{4}{2} = 6

There are also 44 kings in the deck, and we choose 22 of them:

(42)=6\binom{4}{2} = 6

So the number of good hands is:

6×6=366 \times 6 = 36

Step 2: Count All Possible Hands

Now we count all the ways to draw any 44 cards from a 5252-card deck:

(524)=270,725\binom{52}{4} = 270{,}725

Step 3: Find the Probability

The probability is:

good handsall hands=36270,725\frac{\text{good hands}}{\text{all hands}} = \frac{36}{270{,}725}

So:

36270,7250.000133\frac{36}{270{,}725} \approx 0.000133

Step 4: Final Answer

The probability of drawing exactly 22 aces and 22 kings is:

36270,7250.000133\boxed{\frac{36}{270{,}725} \approx 0.000133}

That means it is very unlikely. Out of many, many 44-card hands, only a tiny number will have exactly 22 aces and 22 kings.

Concepts

Permutations and Combinations

Counting the number of ways to arrange or select items. Permutations count ordered arrangements; combinations count unordered selections. Uses the multiplication and addition principles.

Compound Probability

Calculating probabilities of compound events using the addition rule (P(AB)P(A \cup B)) and multiplication rule (P(AB)P(A \cap B)). Events may be independent (one does not affect the other) or dependent.

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