Mathos
Probabilidad

Probabilidad de sacar 2 ases y 2 reyes

Mira cómo las combinaciones cuentan las formas de sacar 2 ases y 2 reyes de una baraja de 52 cartas, y luego divide entre todas las manos de 4 cartas para obtener la probabilidad.

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Respaldado por

Y Combinator

Destacado en

Forbes

Problem

What is the probability of drawing exactly 22 aces and 22 kings from a standard 5252-card deck?

Step 1: Count the Good Hands

We want hands that have exactly 22 aces and 22 kings.

There are 44 aces in the deck, and we choose 22 of them:

(42)=6\binom{4}{2} = 6

There are also 44 kings in the deck, and we choose 22 of them:

(42)=6\binom{4}{2} = 6

So the number of good hands is:

6×6=366 \times 6 = 36

Step 2: Count All Possible Hands

Now we count all the ways to draw any 44 cards from a 5252-card deck:

(524)=270,725\binom{52}{4} = 270{,}725

Step 3: Find the Probability

The probability is:

good handsall hands=36270,725\frac{\text{good hands}}{\text{all hands}} = \frac{36}{270{,}725}

So:

36270,725≈0.000133\frac{36}{270{,}725} \approx 0.000133

Step 4: Final Answer

The probability of drawing exactly 22 aces and 22 kings is:

36270,725≈0.000133\boxed{\frac{36}{270{,}725} \approx 0.000133}

That means it is very unlikely. Out of many, many 44-card hands, only a tiny number will have exactly 22 aces and 22 kings.

Conceptos

Permutations and Combinations

Counting the number of ways to arrange or select items. Permutations count ordered arrangements; combinations count unordered selections. Uses the multiplication and addition principles.

Compound Probability

Calculating probabilities of compound events using the addition rule (P(A∪B)P(A \cup B)) and multiplication rule (P(A∩B)P(A \cap B)). Events may be independent (one does not affect the other) or dependent.

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